Wednesday, August 16, 2006

Value trap and the cigar butt analogy

Value trap is a stock that looks very cheap but the reason it is super cheap is because it is a crappy company and deserves to be that cheap. Buffett likes to give the analogy of the cigar butt. Imagine finding a cigar butt that someone just finished smoking, but there is still a last puff left. The cigar comes free but you get one puff, which doesn't make you feel one hell of a good.

To give another example, a value trap is similar to doing shopping at Ikea, you get super cheap stuff but their worth is also just that. Yet another example would be "you pay peanuts and you get monkeys", sounds familiar?

In essence value trap means that you are paying cheaply for zero quality. A true value investor pays cheaply for some value, not for garbage.

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